CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
ActivTrades
News & Analysis
Market analysis

DAX Storm Warning: Bull Trap Could Drag Index to 21,500

Frank Sohlleder
May 18, 2026

Storm Warning on the Trading Floor: DAX Threatened by the Next Brutal Crash!


The German leading index is facing an extremely unforgiving trading week. After last week already ended with a painful negative balance, market participants now seem to have finally run out of arguments for a saving spirit of optimism. To break this toxic downward spiral, there is simply a lack of fundamental fuel. Instead, naked fear rules: Dramatic signs are multiplying that both the U.S. military and Israeli units have virtually completed their preparations for a massive military strike against Iran. A recent, highly explosive Truth Social post by the U.S. President allows for exactly this ice-cold interpretation. Whether this highly dangerous rhetoric is merely a hard-hitting feint to force Tehran to its knees at the negotiating table, or whether the military storm actually breaks loose, will put European stock markets in a state of absolute suspense!

Japan Shock and News Vacuum: A Highly Explosive Mix!


The panicked look towards Asia at the start of the week also bodes absolutely nothing good. The red-hot economic data from Japan from early Monday morning acts like a cold shower: Although the Japanese economy grew minimally, it fell mercilessly short of market expectations. Even if this does not immediately drag the DAX into the red, it cements the rampant worries about the already sputtering global economy. Because the macroeconomic data calendar is extremely thinned out this week, the market remains in a highly nervous state of shock. In this fundamental vacuum, a single geopolitical ad-hoc report is enough to trigger lightning-fast and brutally volatile chain reactions on the trading floor!

Technical Nightmare: Will the Bull Trap Drag the Index to 21,500 Points?


Anyone who takes a look at the naked chart technique inevitably stares directly into the abyss. On the weekly chart, an extremely gloomy and highly dangerous mix is currently brewing! Because the DAX simply cannot manage to sustainably free itself from the massive downward impulse of early March, the recent upward movement is increasingly exposing itself as a deceptive bull trap. Professional investors evaluate this show of strength merely as a "complex correction" within a strong downward trend. The mathematical projection of this fatal chart pattern is absolutely shattering for the bulls: Should the selling pressure persist, the German leading index is threatened with a merciless plunge deep into the area of 21,500 points!

 

 

The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is to be considered to be a marketing communication.

 

All information has been prepared by ActivTrades (“AT”). The information does not contain a record of AT’s prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.

 

Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Forecasts are not guarantees. Rates may change. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions may vary. Platforms’ tools do not guarantee success.

ActivTrades x Nikola Tsolov
Nikola Tsolov's car